IEEE: Moore's Law has Ended
According to an article published in the prestigious Proceedings of the IEEE, Moore's Law Ended in the summer of 2004. The article ("Future Directions in Electronic Computing and Information Processing," Julio Gea-Banacloche and Laszlo B. Kish, Proc. IEEE, 93 [10] (2005)) claims that a combination of thermal noise and heat dissipation forced Intel to abandon clock frequency in favor of multi-core processors:
"Surprisingly, a break of Moore's law took place much earlier, at the summer of 2004, when Intel failed to move from 90 to 60 nm. In the media, reports were talking about heat, bit-errors, and leakage current problems. The ultimate solution was that INTEL abandoned the increasing of the clock frequency and the miniaturization for the moment and moves toward dual-core processors."
It is highly doubtful that we will see the same gains in computing performance from multi-core chips than we saw from miniaturization because they are much harder to program efficiently.
In any case, it will take a few more years for the end of Moore's Law to become apparent to everyone. This will be the end of Transhumanism.
"Surprisingly, a break of Moore's law took place much earlier, at the summer of 2004, when Intel failed to move from 90 to 60 nm. In the media, reports were talking about heat, bit-errors, and leakage current problems. The ultimate solution was that INTEL abandoned the increasing of the clock frequency and the miniaturization for the moment and moves toward dual-core processors."
It is highly doubtful that we will see the same gains in computing performance from multi-core chips than we saw from miniaturization because they are much harder to program efficiently.
In any case, it will take a few more years for the end of Moore's Law to become apparent to everyone. This will be the end of Transhumanism.
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