One of the main errors Transhumanists make with their religion is that they are way too specific with the date when the Messiah (a.k.a. the Strong A.I.) will come to initiate the Rapture (a.k.a. brain uploading). For instance, Kurzweil believes the Messiah will arrive in 2029. FM-2030 thought it would arrive in, yep, 2030. In being so specific with the date of the Rapture, they are assuring that their religion will fail when the date passes and nothing happens.

Of course, the main reason the date of ~2030 is chosen is because many Transhumanists are baby boomers who are desperately afraid of dying. So they conveniently make up a date that coincides with when the average boomer will reach the average human life span of ~85 years.

Successful religions are suitably vague with their prognostications. It is enough to say that believers will be saved at some future date but leave the when and where up to their imaginations.

As it so happens, this pattern of religious prediction followed by disappointment happened at least one other time in American history when the Millerite Dispensationalist movement in upstate New York failed to predict the coming of the Messiah on October 22nd, 1844. Interestingly, this Great Disappointment did not lead to the end of the Millerite movement but rather transformed the movement into the Seventh-day Adventists who are still around today. The Adventists merely reinterpreted the prediction as being when the process of Investigative Judgment began in heaven. This is still part of the theology of Seventh-day Adventists today.

So, maybe I spoke too soon about the end of the Religion of Transhumanism in ~2030. Following the 2nd Great Disappointment, I suspect that Transhumanists will still believe in the inevitability of the techno-Messiah, just that the date was off a bit for a variety of reasons. Expect cryonics to see a huge boom around 2030 as thousands of Transhumanists freeze themselves. There will likely be many offshoots of the Religion of Transhumanism at this time, each one just as bizarre as the original.